The ocean could rise a meter (about 39 inches) higher than the current sea level in the next 100 years, according to collaborating researchers from the Niels Bohr Institute at the University of Copenhagen, England and Finland.  This increase is three times higher than previous predictions.Â
The global climate in the coming century will be 2-4 degrees warmer than today, but the ocean is much slower to warm up than the air and the large ice sheets on Greenland and Antarctica are also slower to melt. The great uncertainty in the calculation of the future rise in the sea level lies in the uncertainty over how quickly the ice sheets on land will melt and flow out to sea.
“Instead of making calculations based on what one believes will happen with the melting of the ice sheets we have made calculations based on what has actually happened in the past,” explains Aslak Grinsted, a geophysicist for the Centre for Ice and Climate at the Niels Bohr Institute at the University of Copenhagen. “We have looked at the direct relationship between the global temperature and the sea level 2,000 years into the past.”
With the help of annual growth rings of trees and analysis from ice core borings, researchers have been able to calculate global temperature 2,000 years ago. For about 300 years the sea level has been closely observed in several places around the world; in addition, there is historical knowledge of the sea level of the past in different places in the world.
By linking the two sets of information together,  Grinsted could see the relationship between temperature 
and sea level. For example, in the Middle Ages around 12th century there was a warm period where the sea level was approximately 20 cm (eight inches)Â higher than today and in the 18th century there was the ‘little ice age’, where the sea level was approximately 25 cm (9.8 inches)Â lower than it is today.
Assuming that the climate in the coming century will be three degrees warmer, the new model predictions indicate that the ocean will rise between 0,9 and 1.3 meters. To rise so much so quickly means that the ice sheets will melt much faster than previously believed. But it has already been observed that the ice sheets react quicker to increases in temperature than experts thought just a few years ago.
Studies from the ice age show that ice sheets can melt quickly. When the ice age ended 11.700 years ago, the ice sheets melted so quickly that sea level rose 11 millimeters (1/2 inch) per year – equivalent to a meter in 100 years. Considering global warming today, the sea level will rise with the same speed, one meter in the span of the next 100 years.
